Use your data to prevent unexpected cash shortfalls
Goal: Sustain a healthy cash runway by identifying and mitigating liquidity risks in just five minutes each morning—using your own tailored threshold.
Dashboard Setup & Priority
Suggested Dashboard: Cash & Liquidity
- Widgets:
- Cash Balance vs. Forecast (daily closing balance vs. plan)
- Days-of-Cash gauge (Current Cash ÷ Avg. Daily Disbursements)
- Variance Analysis table (top inflow/outflow deviations)
- AR Aging report (invoices by aging buckets)
- Criticality: High-Impact — immediate visibility into liquidity threats
- Cadence: Daily, at start of business (~ 5 minutes)
Core Principle
Days-of-Cash = Current Cash ÷ Average Daily Disbursements
Five-Minute Routine
- Review Cash vs. Forecast (≈ 1 min)
- Compare today’s closing balance against your forecast.
- Alert: Variance > ± 10 % → investigate root cause.
- Compute Runway (≈ 1 min)
- Calculate average daily disbursements:
- Compute Days-of-Cash:
Avg Daily Disbursements=Total Outflows (last 30 days)30 \text{Avg Daily Disbursements} = \frac{\text{Total Outflows (last 30 days)}}{30}
Runway=Current CashAvg Daily Disbursements \text{Runway} = \frac{\text{Current Cash}}{\text{Avg Daily Disbursements}}
- Analyze Material Variances (≈ 1 min)
- Identify top 1–2 unplanned outflows in the Variance table.
- Determine whether each can be deferred, renegotiated, or must proceed.
- Assess Receivables Health (≈ 1 min)
- Flag invoices > 30 days past due in AR Aging.
- Insight: Each overdue day is an implicit working-capital loan at your cost of capital.
- Execute One High-Impact Action (≈ 1 min)
- Accelerate Collections: Send reminders with a 1–2 % early-pay incentive.
- Extend Payables: Negotiate a term extension on your largest vendor liability.
- Pause Discretionary Spend: Freeze non-critical subscriptions or hires.
- Why one? Focus ensures speed, clear accountability, measurable impact, and sustainable habit formation.
- Exception: If runway < (Your Buffer ÷ 2), you may pair two actions for immediate relief.
Choose the most levered move to restore runway:
Control Limits & Key Metrics
Condition | Immediate Response |
Runway < Your Custom Buffer | Execute your chosen high-impact action(s) |
Cash vs. Forecast variance > ± 10 % | Investigate root cause; recalibrate next period’s forecast |
Overdue AR > 20 % of total receivables | Escalate collections or introduce prompt-pay incentives |
Track Daily:
- Cash balance vs. forecast (% variance)
- Days-of-Cash runway
- % of receivables overdue
- Top 2 unplanned cash variances
Habit Formation
- Daily Ritual: Block 5 minutes each morning for your “Liquidity Check” and set dashboard alerts for your critical thresholds.
- Weekly Deep-Dive: Every Friday, review variance trends and AR aging to address any recurring issues.
Real-World Example
Your consultancy forecasts $60 K but records $48 K (–20 %). With $4 K/day spend, runway is 12 days. Your custom buffer is 30 (days) vendor terms + 7 days action margin = 37 days. Since 12 < 37, you negotiate deferral of a $6 K software renewal—instantly adding 1.5 weeks of runway and averting a cash crisis.
Note on Your Custom Runway Buffer
