Budget Customer Acquisition
Know exactly what you can spend to acquire a customer and stay profitable.
What this recipe is for
Setting disciplined acquisition spend limits so you grow customer volume without sacrificing margin or burning cash.
What you’ll get
- A clear maximum cost to acquire a customer (CAC) that preserves profitability
- Channel-level spend targets tied to return expectations
- A repeatable test framework for new acquisition tactics
- Early signals when acquisition becomes unprofitable
Key inputs
- Customer Lifetime Value (LTV) or expected revenue per customer
- Gross margin percentage
- Current CAC by channel
- Conversion rates in the funnel (traffic → lead → customer)
- Retention/repurchase assumptions (to project LTV)
- Payback period goal (how fast you need to recover CAC)
Core logic
To scale sustainably, acquisition must pay back: aim for LTV : CAC ≥ 3 : 1. That means you should earn at least three times what you spend to get a customer, after accounting for margin and expected repeat. Acquisition spend is “budgeted” by backing into the maximum CAC that keeps that ratio healthy given your current economics.
Step-by-step actions
Step 1: Calculate baseline LTV
Estimate how much a customer spends over their expected lifespan, adjusted by gross margin:
LTV = Average Revenue per Customer × Repeat Frequency × Gross Margin %
Step 2: Determine your target CAC ceiling
Back into allowable CAC:
Target CAC = LTV / 3
This gives the maximum you can spend to acquire a customer while preserving the 3:1 efficiency guardrail.
Step 3: Assess current CAC by channel
Break down what you’re spending per new customer from each source. Compare each to the target CAC.
Step 4: Prioritize channels & test
- Double down on channels where actual CAC ≤ target CAC and volume can scale.
- Rapidly test new channels with small spends, measuring their CAC against the ceiling.
- For borderline channels, experiment with improving funnel conversion before increasing spend.
Step 5: Define payback expectations
Set how many days/weeks/months it should take to recover CAC (shorter payback improves cash flow). Adjust acquisition aggressiveness based on cash availability.
Step 6: Monitor and adjust
Weekly: track LTV updates, CAC per channel, and the LTV:CAC ratio. If the ratio drops below 3:1, pause scaling and diagnose the leak (e.g., falling retention or rising acquisition costs).
Decision thresholds / guardrails
- LTV : CAC < 3 : 1 → Stop increasing acquisition spend; fix retention, increase LTV, or reduce CAC before scaling.
- Payback period exceeds acceptable window (e.g., 6 months) → Reevaluate aggressiveness—shorten the acquisition cycle or improve conversion.
- CAC drift upward without better customer quality → Audit channel performance; reduce or re-optimize spend.
- New channel test shows CAC > target → Either improve funnel efficiency before scaling or drop the channel.
Examples
- Local service business:
LTV = $2,000 (average client value over repeat engagements) × 50% gross margin = $1,000 contribution.
Target CAC = $1,000 / 3 ≈ $333.
If Facebook ads are costing $400 per new client, optimize the funnel or shift to a lower-CAC source.
- Subscription product:
Avg monthly revenue $100, average lifespan 6 months → Revenue per customer $600.
Gross margin 60% → LTV = $360.
Target CAC = $360 / 3 = $120.
Test acquisition ads with small budgets; scale only channels delivering new customers at ≤ $120.
Thinking checks
- Is each channel’s CAC below the target ceiling before scaling?
- Are we tracking actual payback time and does it align with cash constraints?
- If acquisition cost rises, do we have other levers (frequency, AOV) to compensate?
- Are new customers behaving as expected (retention, upsell) to justify their acquisition cost?
If the answer is no…
- LTV too low → Improve retention, increase AOV, or raise price.
- CAC too high → Tighten targeting, improve funnel conversion, or shift channels.
- Payback too long → Shorten acquisition cycle or reduce upfront spend.
What to track (minimum)
- LTV (updated with real behavior)
- CAC by channel
- LTV : CAC ratio
- Payback period
- Conversion rates at each funnel stage
- Retention impact on LTV
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