Identify Who Actually Buys
Find the customer profiles that convert and spend the most.
What this recipe is for
Stopping wasted acquisition by zeroing in on the types of customers who drive real revenue and lifetime value—so you target, acquire, and keep the right people.
What you’ll get
- Clear customer segments that perform above average
- Priority targeting rules for acquisition and retention
- Early filters to avoid low-value leads
- Actions to refine messaging and offers for top buyers
Key inputs
- Historical customer data (demographics, source, behavior)
- Conversion rates by segment or source
- Average order value / spend per segment
- Retention or repeat behavior per group
- Acquisition cost by segment/source
- Qualitative signals (common objections, purchase triggers)
Core logic
Not all customers are equal. A small subset often delivers disproportionate revenue and loyalty. By identifying who actually buys (and stays), you can spend less to get more, tailor offers, and reduce churn. Focus acquisition on high-LTV, lower-CAC profiles and deprioritize or filter out weak-fit traffic.
Step-by-step actions
Step 1: Segment your existing customers
Group by observable attributes: acquisition source, purchase size, frequency, behavior patterns, demographics, or industry (for B2B).
Step 2: Measure performance per segment
Calculate for each:
- Conversion rate
- Average revenue (AOV & frequency)
- Retention/repeat rate
- CAC (if traceable)
- LTV (combine revenue and repeat behavior)
Step 3: Rank segments
Score segments by efficiency and value: high LTV, strong retention, acceptable CAC. Identify the “best buyers” and the “cost traps” (high CAC, low LTV).
Step 4: Create targeting & qualification rules
- Acquisition: Double down on channels/ads that bring in high-performing segments.
- Lead qualification: Filter or deprioritize leads matching low-value profiles.
- Messaging: Tailor copy/offers to speak directly to the triggers and objections of top segments.
Step 5: Test expansion adjacent to best segments
Look for “lookalike” patterns—slightly broader audiences that share core traits with top buyers, then validate before scaling.
Decision thresholds / guardrails
- Segment LTV : CAC < 3 : 1 → Deprioritize or fix acquisition/messaging for that group.
- High volume but low retention segment → Diagnose onboarding or expectations mismatch before doubling spend.
- Top segments showing early signs of fatigue or drop in value → Revalidate their behaviors and refresh offers.
- New targeting expansion failing to match core metrics of best buyers → Pull back and refine criteria.
Examples
- E-commerce:
Customers coming from organic search with repeat purchases and high AOV are top-tier; paid social traffic with one-off low-value buys gets filtered or reworked.
- Service:
Clients who book follow-up engagements and refer others are high-value—focus outreach on industries or profiles matching their origin.
- B2B SaaS:
Small teams with specific use cases convert faster and churn less than larger, unfocused enterprise leads—adjust lead qualification and landing pages accordingly.
Thinking checks
- Are you spending most acquisition dollars on your top-performing segments?
- Do your offers/messaging reflect what the best customers care about?
- Have you eliminated or filtered low-fit traffic before it consumes budget?
- Are you continuously refreshing the definition of “who actually buys” as behavior shifts?
If the answer is no…
- Re-segment immediately using available data.
- Build simple qualification questions or pre-filters in the funnel.
- Test targeted campaigns to the best segment and compare performance.
What to track (minimum)
- Conversion rate by segment
- LTV and retention per segment
- CAC per segment/source
- Revenue concentration (top X% of customers)
- Changes in segment performance over time
